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Fuzzy Logic Approach for Identifying the Effects of Climate Change on Agricultural Production

Received: 12 July 2021     Accepted: 26 July 2021     Published: 4 August 2021
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Abstract

This study is conducted to measure the effects of climate responsive variables on agricultural production rate in Bangladesh. Agriculture production is affected by the climate changes and natural disasters that cause farmers enormous financial losses. The study focused on the application of fuzzy logic to find out the effect of climate changes on the agricultural production of Bangladesh. The objective of the study is to see the proposed fuzzy system will aid farmers for taking decision of selecting right crop to get the optimal yield. A set of fuzzy rules have been utilized to obtain inference of agriculture production on different linguistic variables. Altered combination of climate variables like temperature, weather disasters, water availability, monsoon level, diseases, species extinction and deforestation are considered as fuzzy linguistic variables generated through sets of different fuzzy rules and applied to estimate agriculture production rate. Findings show that as temperature and weather disaster increases to its highest level the agriculture production reduces to its lowest level. Furthermore, temperature and water availability has a homogeneous effect on agriculture production which indicates that the effects of increased temperature are balanced by the supply of available water. The effects of temperature and monsoon level to agriculture production indicate high precipitation due to monsoon level damages agricultural production. Moderate temperature with pure water availability resulted from moderate monsoon level produces medium agriculture production. It was found that the minimum spread of diseases can produce moderate level of agriculture production. Nonetheless, species extinction has a long term effect on production and deforestation has an immediate effect on agriculture production. In conclusion, climate variables like weather disaster, deforestation, spread of disease, species extinction damage and reduce the agricultural production rate. The study demonstrates the application of fuzzy logic to examine the impact of climate change on the agriculture production in Bangladesh.

Published in International Journal of Agricultural Economics (Volume 6, Issue 4)
DOI 10.11648/j.ijae.20210604.15
Page(s) 181-192
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2021. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Fuzzy Logic, Fuzzy Expert System, Linguistic Variable, Agriculture Production

References
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  • APA Style

    Muhammad Shahjalal, Md. Zahidul Alam, Saikh Shahjahan Miah, Abdul Hannan Chowdhury. (2021). Fuzzy Logic Approach for Identifying the Effects of Climate Change on Agricultural Production. International Journal of Agricultural Economics, 6(4), 181-192. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijae.20210604.15

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    ACS Style

    Muhammad Shahjalal; Md. Zahidul Alam; Saikh Shahjahan Miah; Abdul Hannan Chowdhury. Fuzzy Logic Approach for Identifying the Effects of Climate Change on Agricultural Production. Int. J. Agric. Econ. 2021, 6(4), 181-192. doi: 10.11648/j.ijae.20210604.15

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    AMA Style

    Muhammad Shahjalal, Md. Zahidul Alam, Saikh Shahjahan Miah, Abdul Hannan Chowdhury. Fuzzy Logic Approach for Identifying the Effects of Climate Change on Agricultural Production. Int J Agric Econ. 2021;6(4):181-192. doi: 10.11648/j.ijae.20210604.15

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  • @article{10.11648/j.ijae.20210604.15,
      author = {Muhammad Shahjalal and Md. Zahidul Alam and Saikh Shahjahan Miah and Abdul Hannan Chowdhury},
      title = {Fuzzy Logic Approach for Identifying the Effects of Climate Change on Agricultural Production},
      journal = {International Journal of Agricultural Economics},
      volume = {6},
      number = {4},
      pages = {181-192},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ijae.20210604.15},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijae.20210604.15},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijae.20210604.15},
      abstract = {This study is conducted to measure the effects of climate responsive variables on agricultural production rate in Bangladesh. Agriculture production is affected by the climate changes and natural disasters that cause farmers enormous financial losses. The study focused on the application of fuzzy logic to find out the effect of climate changes on the agricultural production of Bangladesh. The objective of the study is to see the proposed fuzzy system will aid farmers for taking decision of selecting right crop to get the optimal yield. A set of fuzzy rules have been utilized to obtain inference of agriculture production on different linguistic variables. Altered combination of climate variables like temperature, weather disasters, water availability, monsoon level, diseases, species extinction and deforestation are considered as fuzzy linguistic variables generated through sets of different fuzzy rules and applied to estimate agriculture production rate. Findings show that as temperature and weather disaster increases to its highest level the agriculture production reduces to its lowest level. Furthermore, temperature and water availability has a homogeneous effect on agriculture production which indicates that the effects of increased temperature are balanced by the supply of available water. The effects of temperature and monsoon level to agriculture production indicate high precipitation due to monsoon level damages agricultural production. Moderate temperature with pure water availability resulted from moderate monsoon level produces medium agriculture production. It was found that the minimum spread of diseases can produce moderate level of agriculture production. Nonetheless, species extinction has a long term effect on production and deforestation has an immediate effect on agriculture production. In conclusion, climate variables like weather disaster, deforestation, spread of disease, species extinction damage and reduce the agricultural production rate. The study demonstrates the application of fuzzy logic to examine the impact of climate change on the agriculture production in Bangladesh.},
     year = {2021}
    }
    

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  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - Fuzzy Logic Approach for Identifying the Effects of Climate Change on Agricultural Production
    AU  - Muhammad Shahjalal
    AU  - Md. Zahidul Alam
    AU  - Saikh Shahjahan Miah
    AU  - Abdul Hannan Chowdhury
    Y1  - 2021/08/04
    PY  - 2021
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijae.20210604.15
    DO  - 10.11648/j.ijae.20210604.15
    T2  - International Journal of Agricultural Economics
    JF  - International Journal of Agricultural Economics
    JO  - International Journal of Agricultural Economics
    SP  - 181
    EP  - 192
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2575-3843
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijae.20210604.15
    AB  - This study is conducted to measure the effects of climate responsive variables on agricultural production rate in Bangladesh. Agriculture production is affected by the climate changes and natural disasters that cause farmers enormous financial losses. The study focused on the application of fuzzy logic to find out the effect of climate changes on the agricultural production of Bangladesh. The objective of the study is to see the proposed fuzzy system will aid farmers for taking decision of selecting right crop to get the optimal yield. A set of fuzzy rules have been utilized to obtain inference of agriculture production on different linguistic variables. Altered combination of climate variables like temperature, weather disasters, water availability, monsoon level, diseases, species extinction and deforestation are considered as fuzzy linguistic variables generated through sets of different fuzzy rules and applied to estimate agriculture production rate. Findings show that as temperature and weather disaster increases to its highest level the agriculture production reduces to its lowest level. Furthermore, temperature and water availability has a homogeneous effect on agriculture production which indicates that the effects of increased temperature are balanced by the supply of available water. The effects of temperature and monsoon level to agriculture production indicate high precipitation due to monsoon level damages agricultural production. Moderate temperature with pure water availability resulted from moderate monsoon level produces medium agriculture production. It was found that the minimum spread of diseases can produce moderate level of agriculture production. Nonetheless, species extinction has a long term effect on production and deforestation has an immediate effect on agriculture production. In conclusion, climate variables like weather disaster, deforestation, spread of disease, species extinction damage and reduce the agricultural production rate. The study demonstrates the application of fuzzy logic to examine the impact of climate change on the agriculture production in Bangladesh.
    VL  - 6
    IS  - 4
    ER  - 

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Author Information
  • Department of Mathematics, Bangamata Sheikh Fojilatunnesa Mujib Science and Technology University, Jamalpur, Bangladesh

  • Department of Mathematics, Bangamata Sheikh Fojilatunnesa Mujib Science and Technology University, Jamalpur, Bangladesh

  • Department of Mathematics, Mawlana Bhashani Science and Technology University, Tangail, Bangladesh

  • School of Business and Economics, North South University, Dhaka, Bangladesh

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