Estimation of Seismic Ground Motions and Attendant Potential Human Fatalities from Scenario Earthquakes on the Sanchiao Fault in Taipei City, Taiwan

Kun-Sung Liu

doi:doi:10.11648/j.earth.20190802.12

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Estimation of Seismic Ground Motions and Attendant Potential Human Fatalities from Scenario Earthquakes on the Sanchiao Fault in Taipei City, Taiwan

Kun-Sung Liu

Published in Earth Sciences (Volume 8, Issue 2)

Received: 12 February 2019 Accepted: 14 March 2019 Published: 3 April 2019

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Abstract

The purpose of this study is to estimate maximum ground motions in Taipei city in the form of ShakeMaps as well as to assess potential human fatalities from scenario earthquakes on the Sanchiao active faults in this area. Analysis of seismic hazard potential becomes necessary in Taipei City for the Central Geological Survey (CGS) announced the Sanchiao active fault as Category II. The resultant ShakeMap patterns of maximum ground motion by using ground motion prediction equation (GMPE) method in a case of Mw6.88 show the areas of PGA above 400 gals are located in the northern and western parts of Taipei. Furthermore, the areas of PGA above 500 gals are located in these regions: Beitou, Shihlin, Datong, Wanhua, Jhongjheng, northern Neihu, western Jhongshan, western Daan and western Sinyi. In addition, seismic hazards in terms of PGA and PGV in the vicinity of the Sanchiao fault are not completely dominated by the Sanchiao fault. The main reason is that some areas located in the vicinity of the Sanchiao fault are marked with low site response amplification values of 0.55 and 0.67 for PGA and PGV, respectively. Finally, from estimation of potential human fatalities from scenario earthquakes on the Sanchiao active fault, it is noted that potential fatalities increase rapidly in people above age 45. Total fatalities reach a high peak in age groups of 55–64. Another to pay special attention is Taipei City has hundreds of thousands of households whose residences over 40 years old. When a strong earthquake strikes, these old houses are vulnerable to collapse. In light of the results of this study, the author urge both the municipal and central governments to take effective seismic hazard mitigation measures in the highly urbanized areas with a large number of old buildings in Taipei city. The results of this study will show which areas with higher earthquake hazard potential in Taipei City. It will help mitigate Taipei City earthquake disaster loss in the future, as well as provide critical information for emergency response plans.

Published in	Earth Sciences (Volume 8, Issue 2)
DOI	10.11648/j.earth.20190802.12
Page(s)	81-93
Creative Commons	This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright	Copyright © The Author(s), 2019. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Sanchiao Fault, Potential Human Fatality, Ground Motion, ShakeMap, Taipei City

References

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APA Style

Kun-Sung Liu. (2019). Estimation of Seismic Ground Motions and Attendant Potential Human Fatalities from Scenario Earthquakes on the Sanchiao Fault in Taipei City, Taiwan. Earth Sciences, 8(2), 81-93. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.earth.20190802.12

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ACS Style

Kun-Sung Liu. Estimation of Seismic Ground Motions and Attendant Potential Human Fatalities from Scenario Earthquakes on the Sanchiao Fault in Taipei City, Taiwan. Earth Sci. 2019, 8(2), 81-93. doi: 10.11648/j.earth.20190802.12

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AMA Style

Kun-Sung Liu. Estimation of Seismic Ground Motions and Attendant Potential Human Fatalities from Scenario Earthquakes on the Sanchiao Fault in Taipei City, Taiwan. Earth Sci. 2019;8(2):81-93. doi: 10.11648/j.earth.20190802.12

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@article{10.11648/j.earth.20190802.12,
  author = {Kun-Sung Liu},
  title = {Estimation of Seismic Ground Motions and Attendant Potential Human Fatalities from Scenario Earthquakes on the Sanchiao Fault in Taipei City, Taiwan},
  journal = {Earth Sciences},
  volume = {8},
  number = {2},
  pages = {81-93},
  doi = {10.11648/j.earth.20190802.12},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.earth.20190802.12},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.earth.20190802.12},
  abstract = {The purpose of this study is to estimate maximum ground motions in Taipei city in the form of ShakeMaps as well as to assess potential human fatalities from scenario earthquakes on the Sanchiao active faults in this area. Analysis of seismic hazard potential becomes necessary in Taipei City for the Central Geological Survey (CGS) announced the Sanchiao active fault as Category II. The resultant ShakeMap patterns of maximum ground motion by using ground motion prediction equation (GMPE) method in a case of Mw6.88 show the areas of PGA above 400 gals are located in the northern and western parts of Taipei. Furthermore, the areas of PGA above 500 gals are located in these regions: Beitou, Shihlin, Datong, Wanhua, Jhongjheng, northern Neihu, western Jhongshan, western Daan and western Sinyi. In addition, seismic hazards in terms of PGA and PGV in the vicinity of the Sanchiao fault are not completely dominated by the Sanchiao fault. The main reason is that some areas located in the vicinity of the Sanchiao fault are marked with low site response amplification values of 0.55 and 0.67 for PGA and PGV, respectively. Finally, from estimation of potential human fatalities from scenario earthquakes on the Sanchiao active fault, it is noted that potential fatalities increase rapidly in people above age 45. Total fatalities reach a high peak in age groups of 55–64. Another to pay special attention is Taipei City has hundreds of thousands of households whose residences over 40 years old. When a strong earthquake strikes, these old houses are vulnerable to collapse. In light of the results of this study, the author urge both the municipal and central governments to take effective seismic hazard mitigation measures in the highly urbanized areas with a large number of old buildings in Taipei city. The results of this study will show which areas with higher earthquake hazard potential in Taipei City. It will help mitigate Taipei City earthquake disaster loss in the future, as well as provide critical information for emergency response plans.},
 year = {2019}
}

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TY - JOUR
T1 - Estimation of Seismic Ground Motions and Attendant Potential Human Fatalities from Scenario Earthquakes on the Sanchiao Fault in Taipei City, Taiwan
AU - Kun-Sung Liu
Y1 - 2019/04/03
PY - 2019
N1 - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.earth.20190802.12
DO - 10.11648/j.earth.20190802.12
T2 - Earth Sciences
JF - Earth Sciences
JO - Earth Sciences
SP - 81
EP - 93
PB - Science Publishing Group
SN - 2328-5982
UR - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.earth.20190802.12
AB - The purpose of this study is to estimate maximum ground motions in Taipei city in the form of ShakeMaps as well as to assess potential human fatalities from scenario earthquakes on the Sanchiao active faults in this area. Analysis of seismic hazard potential becomes necessary in Taipei City for the Central Geological Survey (CGS) announced the Sanchiao active fault as Category II. The resultant ShakeMap patterns of maximum ground motion by using ground motion prediction equation (GMPE) method in a case of Mw6.88 show the areas of PGA above 400 gals are located in the northern and western parts of Taipei. Furthermore, the areas of PGA above 500 gals are located in these regions: Beitou, Shihlin, Datong, Wanhua, Jhongjheng, northern Neihu, western Jhongshan, western Daan and western Sinyi. In addition, seismic hazards in terms of PGA and PGV in the vicinity of the Sanchiao fault are not completely dominated by the Sanchiao fault. The main reason is that some areas located in the vicinity of the Sanchiao fault are marked with low site response amplification values of 0.55 and 0.67 for PGA and PGV, respectively. Finally, from estimation of potential human fatalities from scenario earthquakes on the Sanchiao active fault, it is noted that potential fatalities increase rapidly in people above age 45. Total fatalities reach a high peak in age groups of 55–64. Another to pay special attention is Taipei City has hundreds of thousands of households whose residences over 40 years old. When a strong earthquake strikes, these old houses are vulnerable to collapse. In light of the results of this study, the author urge both the municipal and central governments to take effective seismic hazard mitigation measures in the highly urbanized areas with a large number of old buildings in Taipei city. The results of this study will show which areas with higher earthquake hazard potential in Taipei City. It will help mitigate Taipei City earthquake disaster loss in the future, as well as provide critical information for emergency response plans.
VL - 8
IS - 2
ER -

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Kun-Sung Liu

Department of Civil Engineering & Hazard Mitigation Research Center, Kao Yuan University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan, ROC

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Kun-Sung Liu. (2019). Estimation of Seismic Ground Motions and Attendant Potential Human Fatalities from Scenario Earthquakes on the Sanchiao Fault in Taipei City, Taiwan. Earth Sciences, 8(2), 81-93. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.earth.20190802.12

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ACS Style

Kun-Sung Liu. Estimation of Seismic Ground Motions and Attendant Potential Human Fatalities from Scenario Earthquakes on the Sanchiao Fault in Taipei City, Taiwan. Earth Sci. 2019, 8(2), 81-93. doi: 10.11648/j.earth.20190802.12

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AMA Style

Kun-Sung Liu. Estimation of Seismic Ground Motions and Attendant Potential Human Fatalities from Scenario Earthquakes on the Sanchiao Fault in Taipei City, Taiwan. Earth Sci. 2019;8(2):81-93. doi: 10.11648/j.earth.20190802.12

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@article{10.11648/j.earth.20190802.12,
  author = {Kun-Sung Liu},
  title = {Estimation of Seismic Ground Motions and Attendant Potential Human Fatalities from Scenario Earthquakes on the Sanchiao Fault in Taipei City, Taiwan},
  journal = {Earth Sciences},
  volume = {8},
  number = {2},
  pages = {81-93},
  doi = {10.11648/j.earth.20190802.12},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.earth.20190802.12},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.earth.20190802.12},
  abstract = {The purpose of this study is to estimate maximum ground motions in Taipei city in the form of ShakeMaps as well as to assess potential human fatalities from scenario earthquakes on the Sanchiao active faults in this area. Analysis of seismic hazard potential becomes necessary in Taipei City for the Central Geological Survey (CGS) announced the Sanchiao active fault as Category II. The resultant ShakeMap patterns of maximum ground motion by using ground motion prediction equation (GMPE) method in a case of Mw6.88 show the areas of PGA above 400 gals are located in the northern and western parts of Taipei. Furthermore, the areas of PGA above 500 gals are located in these regions: Beitou, Shihlin, Datong, Wanhua, Jhongjheng, northern Neihu, western Jhongshan, western Daan and western Sinyi. In addition, seismic hazards in terms of PGA and PGV in the vicinity of the Sanchiao fault are not completely dominated by the Sanchiao fault. The main reason is that some areas located in the vicinity of the Sanchiao fault are marked with low site response amplification values of 0.55 and 0.67 for PGA and PGV, respectively. Finally, from estimation of potential human fatalities from scenario earthquakes on the Sanchiao active fault, it is noted that potential fatalities increase rapidly in people above age 45. Total fatalities reach a high peak in age groups of 55–64. Another to pay special attention is Taipei City has hundreds of thousands of households whose residences over 40 years old. When a strong earthquake strikes, these old houses are vulnerable to collapse. In light of the results of this study, the author urge both the municipal and central governments to take effective seismic hazard mitigation measures in the highly urbanized areas with a large number of old buildings in Taipei city. The results of this study will show which areas with higher earthquake hazard potential in Taipei City. It will help mitigate Taipei City earthquake disaster loss in the future, as well as provide critical information for emergency response plans.},
 year = {2019}
}

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