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Study on the Improved Severity Coefficient Model of Dam Break Consequence Assessment

Received: 16 April 2021     Accepted: 8 June 2021     Published: 10 June 2021
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Abstract

The assessment of the dam failure consequences is fundamental to the dam risk assessment, and the linear weight sum method is generally used. The comprehensive evaluation of dam failure consequences involves many evaluation factors, the dimensions of each factor are inconsistent. The key is to determine the coefficient of the severity degree of dam failure consequences. Based on the traditional methods, a new severity degree coefficient model of the loss of life, economic losses, environmental impact, and social impact is established after taking the current laws and regulations, the range of the severity of the impact, the establishment of normalized function, the introduction of piecewise function and other factors into comprehensive consideration, and use analysis hierarchy process to obtain weight. Apply the improved linear weighting method to the level assessment and rank of the dam failure consequences of Changlong reservoir, Xialan reservoir, Shibikeng reservoir, Longshan reservoir and Lingtan reservoir in Jiangxi Province, and then determine the grade and rank of dam failure consequences according to the calculation results, analyze the corresponding results accurately combined with expertise. The evaluation results and analysis show that if dam failure occurs, the consequences of the five dams are all very serious, it belongs to extraordinarily serious accidents. The severity degree coefficient of dam failure consequences model can reflect the severity degree of dam failure consequences more objectively and reasonably, and it has clear concept, simple calculation, and intuitive process.

Published in American Journal of Civil Engineering (Volume 9, Issue 3)
DOI 10.11648/j.ajce.20210903.14
Page(s) 84-90
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2021. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Dam Risk, Dam Failure Consequences, Severity Coefficient, Improved Model, Linear Weight Sum Method

References
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[3] Chen Yue, Gu Chongshi. Dam Break Consequences Assessment Model Based on Risk Matrix and Borda Ordinal Value Method [J] Journal of China Three Gorges Univ. (Natural Sciences), 2019, 41 (5): 1-5.
[4] LI Zongkun, LI Qi, GE Wei, et al. Comprehensive Assessment of Dam Risk Consequences Caused by the Dam Failure Based on the Set Pair Analysis [J] YELLOW RIVER, 2016, 38 (9): 111-114.
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[6] LI Gen, CHENG Yu-liang, YAN Shi-jia, et al. A comprehensive evaluation study on the degree of water conservancy modernization based on hierarchical analysis and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation [J] Water Resources Development Research, 2019, 216 (06): 67-71.
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[11] Li, Rz Wang, Jb Sheng, et al. Dam Risk Assessment and Risk Management [M]. China Water Conservancy and Hydropower Press, 2006: 86-95.
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[15] XIAO Xiang-jun. Research On Economic Loss Model of Environmental Carrying Capacity Caused by Flood and Waterlogging in Urban Tourism Areas [J] Journal of Catastrophology, 2020, 139 (04): 19-21+30.
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Cite This Article
  • APA Style

    Weiwei Sun, Qian Cai, Zhifei Long. (2021). Study on the Improved Severity Coefficient Model of Dam Break Consequence Assessment. American Journal of Civil Engineering, 9(3), 84-90. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajce.20210903.14

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    ACS Style

    Weiwei Sun; Qian Cai; Zhifei Long. Study on the Improved Severity Coefficient Model of Dam Break Consequence Assessment. Am. J. Civ. Eng. 2021, 9(3), 84-90. doi: 10.11648/j.ajce.20210903.14

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    AMA Style

    Weiwei Sun, Qian Cai, Zhifei Long. Study on the Improved Severity Coefficient Model of Dam Break Consequence Assessment. Am J Civ Eng. 2021;9(3):84-90. doi: 10.11648/j.ajce.20210903.14

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  • @article{10.11648/j.ajce.20210903.14,
      author = {Weiwei Sun and Qian Cai and Zhifei Long},
      title = {Study on the Improved Severity Coefficient Model of Dam Break Consequence Assessment},
      journal = {American Journal of Civil Engineering},
      volume = {9},
      number = {3},
      pages = {84-90},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ajce.20210903.14},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajce.20210903.14},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ajce.20210903.14},
      abstract = {The assessment of the dam failure consequences is fundamental to the dam risk assessment, and the linear weight sum method is generally used. The comprehensive evaluation of dam failure consequences involves many evaluation factors, the dimensions of each factor are inconsistent. The key is to determine the coefficient of the severity degree of dam failure consequences. Based on the traditional methods, a new severity degree coefficient model of the loss of life, economic losses, environmental impact, and social impact is established after taking the current laws and regulations, the range of the severity of the impact, the establishment of normalized function, the introduction of piecewise function and other factors into comprehensive consideration, and use analysis hierarchy process to obtain weight. Apply the improved linear weighting method to the level assessment and rank of the dam failure consequences of Changlong reservoir, Xialan reservoir, Shibikeng reservoir, Longshan reservoir and Lingtan reservoir in Jiangxi Province, and then determine the grade and rank of dam failure consequences according to the calculation results, analyze the corresponding results accurately combined with expertise. The evaluation results and analysis show that if dam failure occurs, the consequences of the five dams are all very serious, it belongs to extraordinarily serious accidents. The severity degree coefficient of dam failure consequences model can reflect the severity degree of dam failure consequences more objectively and reasonably, and it has clear concept, simple calculation, and intuitive process.},
     year = {2021}
    }
    

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  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - Study on the Improved Severity Coefficient Model of Dam Break Consequence Assessment
    AU  - Weiwei Sun
    AU  - Qian Cai
    AU  - Zhifei Long
    Y1  - 2021/06/10
    PY  - 2021
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajce.20210903.14
    DO  - 10.11648/j.ajce.20210903.14
    T2  - American Journal of Civil Engineering
    JF  - American Journal of Civil Engineering
    JO  - American Journal of Civil Engineering
    SP  - 84
    EP  - 90
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2330-8737
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajce.20210903.14
    AB  - The assessment of the dam failure consequences is fundamental to the dam risk assessment, and the linear weight sum method is generally used. The comprehensive evaluation of dam failure consequences involves many evaluation factors, the dimensions of each factor are inconsistent. The key is to determine the coefficient of the severity degree of dam failure consequences. Based on the traditional methods, a new severity degree coefficient model of the loss of life, economic losses, environmental impact, and social impact is established after taking the current laws and regulations, the range of the severity of the impact, the establishment of normalized function, the introduction of piecewise function and other factors into comprehensive consideration, and use analysis hierarchy process to obtain weight. Apply the improved linear weighting method to the level assessment and rank of the dam failure consequences of Changlong reservoir, Xialan reservoir, Shibikeng reservoir, Longshan reservoir and Lingtan reservoir in Jiangxi Province, and then determine the grade and rank of dam failure consequences according to the calculation results, analyze the corresponding results accurately combined with expertise. The evaluation results and analysis show that if dam failure occurs, the consequences of the five dams are all very serious, it belongs to extraordinarily serious accidents. The severity degree coefficient of dam failure consequences model can reflect the severity degree of dam failure consequences more objectively and reasonably, and it has clear concept, simple calculation, and intuitive process.
    VL  - 9
    IS  - 3
    ER  - 

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Author Information
  • Dam Safety Management Department, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing, China

  • Dam Safety Management Department, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing, China

  • Dam Safety Management Department, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing, China

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