Effects of Natural Disasters on West Africa Sahel’s Economy: The Case of Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger

Issa Habou; Yahaya Maazou Moussa; Malam Maman Nafiou

doi:doi:10.11648/j.ijsdr.20241004.12

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Effects of Natural Disasters on West Africa Sahel’s Economy: The Case of Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger

Issa Habou

, Yahaya Maazou Moussa^*

, Malam Maman Nafiou

Published in International Journal of Sustainable Development Research (Volume 10, Issue 4)

Received: 22 September 2024 Accepted: 12 October 2024 Published: 12 November 2024

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Abstract

The Sahel region is facing the adverse effects of the natural disasters due to the drought and floods which are the most frequent events. These effects can be spread and affected the all the Sahel States economy. Therefore, this study attempts to analyze the effects of these natural disasters on the macroeconomic variables such as production, consumption, investment and inflation in the three (3) the northern central Sahel States. To do so, the panel vector autoregressive model (PVAR) is run on the World Bank and the International Emergency Disasters Database (EM-DAT) data from 1990 to 2021. The results revealed that the occurrence of drought shock generates significantly a negative impact on the GDP per capita at 5% level across the northern central Sahel countries (Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger). Also, the lagged of the macroeconomic variables such as production, investment and inflation have respectively a significant and positive impact on consumption at 5% level, production at 5% level and consumption at 10% level. Furthermore, the results show an asymmetry of natural disaster shocks at the scale of the northern central Sahel States but these shocks are symmetrical in pairs. As a result, the appropriate policies must make to absorb these shocks and avoid any hysteresis effect.

Published in	International Journal of Sustainable Development Research (Volume 10, Issue 4)
DOI	10.11648/j.ijsdr.20241004.12
Page(s)	145-154
Creative Commons	This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright	Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Natural Disasters, Northern Central Sahel Region, VAR Model

References

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APA Style

Habou, I., Moussa, Y. M., Nafiou, M. M. (2024). Effects of Natural Disasters on West Africa Sahel’s Economy: The Case of Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger. International Journal of Sustainable Development Research, 10(4), 145-154. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijsdr.20241004.12

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ACS Style

Habou, I.; Moussa, Y. M.; Nafiou, M. M. Effects of Natural Disasters on West Africa Sahel’s Economy: The Case of Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger. Int. J. Sustain. Dev. Res. 2024, 10(4), 145-154. doi: 10.11648/j.ijsdr.20241004.12

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AMA Style

Habou I, Moussa YM, Nafiou MM. Effects of Natural Disasters on West Africa Sahel’s Economy: The Case of Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger. Int J Sustain Dev Res. 2024;10(4):145-154. doi: 10.11648/j.ijsdr.20241004.12

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@article{10.11648/j.ijsdr.20241004.12,
  author = {Issa Habou and Yahaya Maazou Moussa and Malam Maman Nafiou},
  title = {Effects of Natural Disasters on West Africa Sahel’s Economy: The Case of Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger
},
  journal = {International Journal of Sustainable Development Research},
  volume = {10},
  number = {4},
  pages = {145-154},
  doi = {10.11648/j.ijsdr.20241004.12},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijsdr.20241004.12},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijsdr.20241004.12},
  abstract = {The Sahel region is facing the adverse effects of the natural disasters due to the drought and floods which are the most frequent events. These effects can be spread and affected the all the Sahel States economy. Therefore, this study attempts to analyze the effects of these natural disasters on the macroeconomic variables such as production, consumption, investment and inflation in the three (3) the northern central Sahel States. To do so, the panel vector autoregressive model (PVAR) is run on the World Bank and the International Emergency Disasters Database (EM-DAT) data from 1990 to 2021. The results revealed that the occurrence of drought shock generates significantly a negative impact on the GDP per capita at 5% level across the northern central Sahel countries (Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger). Also, the lagged of the macroeconomic variables such as production, investment and inflation have respectively a significant and positive impact on consumption at 5% level, production at 5% level and consumption at 10% level. Furthermore, the results show an asymmetry of natural disaster shocks at the scale of the northern central Sahel States but these shocks are symmetrical in pairs. As a result, the appropriate policies must make to absorb these shocks and avoid any hysteresis effect.
},
 year = {2024}
}

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TY  - JOUR
T1  - Effects of Natural Disasters on West Africa Sahel’s Economy: The Case of Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger

AU  - Issa Habou
AU  - Yahaya Maazou Moussa
AU  - Malam Maman Nafiou
Y1  - 2024/11/12
PY  - 2024
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijsdr.20241004.12
DO  - 10.11648/j.ijsdr.20241004.12
T2  - International Journal of Sustainable Development Research
JF  - International Journal of Sustainable Development Research
JO  - International Journal of Sustainable Development Research
SP  - 145
EP  - 154
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2575-1832
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijsdr.20241004.12
AB  - The Sahel region is facing the adverse effects of the natural disasters due to the drought and floods which are the most frequent events. These effects can be spread and affected the all the Sahel States economy. Therefore, this study attempts to analyze the effects of these natural disasters on the macroeconomic variables such as production, consumption, investment and inflation in the three (3) the northern central Sahel States. To do so, the panel vector autoregressive model (PVAR) is run on the World Bank and the International Emergency Disasters Database (EM-DAT) data from 1990 to 2021. The results revealed that the occurrence of drought shock generates significantly a negative impact on the GDP per capita at 5% level across the northern central Sahel countries (Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger). Also, the lagged of the macroeconomic variables such as production, investment and inflation have respectively a significant and positive impact on consumption at 5% level, production at 5% level and consumption at 10% level. Furthermore, the results show an asymmetry of natural disaster shocks at the scale of the northern central Sahel States but these shocks are symmetrical in pairs. As a result, the appropriate policies must make to absorb these shocks and avoid any hysteresis effect.

VL  - 10
IS  - 4
ER  -

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Author Information

Issa Habou

Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Abdou Moumouni of Niamey, Niamey, Niger

Contact Email

http://orcid.org/0009-0006-2508-1072
Yahaya Maazou Moussa

Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Abdou Moumouni of Niamey, Niamey, Niger

Contact Email

http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2257-9570
Malam Maman Nafiou

Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Abdou Moumouni of Niamey, Niamey, Niger

Contact Email

http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9937-4499

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APA Style

Habou, I., Moussa, Y. M., Nafiou, M. M. (2024). Effects of Natural Disasters on West Africa Sahel’s Economy: The Case of Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger. International Journal of Sustainable Development Research, 10(4), 145-154. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijsdr.20241004.12

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ACS Style

Habou, I.; Moussa, Y. M.; Nafiou, M. M. Effects of Natural Disasters on West Africa Sahel’s Economy: The Case of Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger. Int. J. Sustain. Dev. Res. 2024, 10(4), 145-154. doi: 10.11648/j.ijsdr.20241004.12

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AMA Style

Habou I, Moussa YM, Nafiou MM. Effects of Natural Disasters on West Africa Sahel’s Economy: The Case of Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger. Int J Sustain Dev Res. 2024;10(4):145-154. doi: 10.11648/j.ijsdr.20241004.12

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@article{10.11648/j.ijsdr.20241004.12,
  author = {Issa Habou and Yahaya Maazou Moussa and Malam Maman Nafiou},
  title = {Effects of Natural Disasters on West Africa Sahel’s Economy: The Case of Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger
},
  journal = {International Journal of Sustainable Development Research},
  volume = {10},
  number = {4},
  pages = {145-154},
  doi = {10.11648/j.ijsdr.20241004.12},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijsdr.20241004.12},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijsdr.20241004.12},
  abstract = {The Sahel region is facing the adverse effects of the natural disasters due to the drought and floods which are the most frequent events. These effects can be spread and affected the all the Sahel States economy. Therefore, this study attempts to analyze the effects of these natural disasters on the macroeconomic variables such as production, consumption, investment and inflation in the three (3) the northern central Sahel States. To do so, the panel vector autoregressive model (PVAR) is run on the World Bank and the International Emergency Disasters Database (EM-DAT) data from 1990 to 2021. The results revealed that the occurrence of drought shock generates significantly a negative impact on the GDP per capita at 5% level across the northern central Sahel countries (Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger). Also, the lagged of the macroeconomic variables such as production, investment and inflation have respectively a significant and positive impact on consumption at 5% level, production at 5% level and consumption at 10% level. Furthermore, the results show an asymmetry of natural disaster shocks at the scale of the northern central Sahel States but these shocks are symmetrical in pairs. As a result, the appropriate policies must make to absorb these shocks and avoid any hysteresis effect.
},
 year = {2024}
}

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TY  - JOUR
T1  - Effects of Natural Disasters on West Africa Sahel’s Economy: The Case of Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger

AU  - Issa Habou
AU  - Yahaya Maazou Moussa
AU  - Malam Maman Nafiou
Y1  - 2024/11/12
PY  - 2024
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijsdr.20241004.12
DO  - 10.11648/j.ijsdr.20241004.12
T2  - International Journal of Sustainable Development Research
JF  - International Journal of Sustainable Development Research
JO  - International Journal of Sustainable Development Research
SP  - 145
EP  - 154
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2575-1832
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijsdr.20241004.12
AB  - The Sahel region is facing the adverse effects of the natural disasters due to the drought and floods which are the most frequent events. These effects can be spread and affected the all the Sahel States economy. Therefore, this study attempts to analyze the effects of these natural disasters on the macroeconomic variables such as production, consumption, investment and inflation in the three (3) the northern central Sahel States. To do so, the panel vector autoregressive model (PVAR) is run on the World Bank and the International Emergency Disasters Database (EM-DAT) data from 1990 to 2021. The results revealed that the occurrence of drought shock generates significantly a negative impact on the GDP per capita at 5% level across the northern central Sahel countries (Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger). Also, the lagged of the macroeconomic variables such as production, investment and inflation have respectively a significant and positive impact on consumption at 5% level, production at 5% level and consumption at 10% level. Furthermore, the results show an asymmetry of natural disaster shocks at the scale of the northern central Sahel States but these shocks are symmetrical in pairs. As a result, the appropriate policies must make to absorb these shocks and avoid any hysteresis effect.

VL  - 10
IS  - 4
ER  -

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