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On the Distribution of Risk of Migration and Its Estimation

Received: 14 September 2016     Accepted: 21 November 2016     Published: 30 December 2016
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Abstract

In India, caste system through economic condition has strong roots in society and it affects the environment in which migration decision takes place. In the present study an attempt has been made to study the trends in rural adult out migration at the household level for different regions to understand the pattern of risk of adult out migration. Some probability models have been proposed to describe the phenomenon and it has been applied to the observed distribution of migrants from the households. Under certain assumptions, it was found that inflated geometric and beta geometric distributions explain satisfactorily the pattern of migration. Also in this study an attempt has been made to know the distribution of risk of migration which cannot be observed directly.

Published in International Journal of Statistical Distributions and Applications (Volume 2, Issue 4)
DOI 10.11648/j.ijsd.20160204.14
Page(s) 67-71
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2016. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Beta Distribution, Inflated Distribution, Adult Migration

References
[1] Aryal, T. R. (2011): “Inflated Geometric Distribution to Study the Distribution of Rural Out- migrants”, Journal of the Institute of Engineering, Vol. 8, No. 1, pp. 266-268.
[2] Gerstenkom, T. (1979): “Moment recurrence relation for the Inflated Negative Binomial, Poisson and Geometric distribution”, Demonstration Mathematica, Vol. 11, No. 2, pp 389-411.
[3] Hossain, M. Z. (2000): “Some demographic models and their application with special reference to Bangladesh”, unpublished Ph.D. thesis, Banaras Hindu University, India.
[4] Iwunor, C. C. O. (1995): “Estimating of parameters of the inflated geometric distribution for rural out-migration”, Genus, Vol. 51, pp. 3-4.
[5] Kothari, D. K. (1980): “Patterns of rural urban migration”, Australian National University Press, Canberra.
[6] Lee, E. S. (1966): “A Theory of Migration”, Demography, Vol. 3, 47-57.
[7] Oberai, A. S., Prasad, P. H. & Sardana, M. G. (1989): “Determinants and Consequences of Internal Migration in India”, Oxford University Press, Delhi.
[8] Sharma, H. L. (1985): “A probability distribution for rural out migration at micro level”, Rural Demography, Vol. 12, No. 1 & 2, 63-69.
[9] Sharma, H. L. (1987): “A Probability Distribution for Out migration”, Janasamkhya, Vol. 5, No. 2, 95-101.
[10] Singh, Brijesh P., Singh, Niraj K. & Roy, Tapan K. (2014):“On the Pattern of Migration in the Household: An Explanation through Binomial Law” in International Journal of Statistics and Systems, Volume 9, No. 2, pp. 203-214.
[11] Singh, Brijesh P., Singh, Niraj K. & Dixit, Shweta (2015):“Estimation of Parameters of Inflated Poisson-Lindley Distribution for Adult Out-migration”, in Journal of Institute of Science and Technology, Vol. 20, No. 2, pp. 6-10.
[12] Singh, S. N. (1963) “A note on Inflated Poisson distribution”, Journal of Indian StatisticalAssociation, Vol. 1, No. 3, pp. 140-144.
[13] Singh, S. N. & Yadava, K.N.S. (1981): “Trends in rural out-migration at household level”, Rural Demography, Vol. 8, No. 1, pp. 53-63.
[14] Yadava, K.N.S. (1977): “Some aspects of out-migration and its effects on fertility”, unpublished Ph.D. thesis in statistics, Banaras Hindu University, India.
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  • APA Style

    Brijesh P. Singh, Niraj K. Singh. (2016). On the Distribution of Risk of Migration and Its Estimation. International Journal of Statistical Distributions and Applications, 2(4), 67-71. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijsd.20160204.14

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    ACS Style

    Brijesh P. Singh; Niraj K. Singh. On the Distribution of Risk of Migration and Its Estimation. Int. J. Stat. Distrib. Appl. 2016, 2(4), 67-71. doi: 10.11648/j.ijsd.20160204.14

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    AMA Style

    Brijesh P. Singh, Niraj K. Singh. On the Distribution of Risk of Migration and Its Estimation. Int J Stat Distrib Appl. 2016;2(4):67-71. doi: 10.11648/j.ijsd.20160204.14

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  • @article{10.11648/j.ijsd.20160204.14,
      author = {Brijesh P. Singh and Niraj K. Singh},
      title = {On the Distribution of Risk of Migration and Its Estimation},
      journal = {International Journal of Statistical Distributions and Applications},
      volume = {2},
      number = {4},
      pages = {67-71},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ijsd.20160204.14},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijsd.20160204.14},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijsd.20160204.14},
      abstract = {In India, caste system through economic condition has strong roots in society and it affects the environment in which migration decision takes place. In the present study an attempt has been made to study the trends in rural adult out migration at the household level for different regions to understand the pattern of risk of adult out migration. Some probability models have been proposed to describe the phenomenon and it has been applied to the observed distribution of migrants from the households. Under certain assumptions, it was found that inflated geometric and beta geometric distributions explain satisfactorily the pattern of migration. Also in this study an attempt has been made to know the distribution of risk of migration which cannot be observed directly.},
     year = {2016}
    }
    

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    AB  - In India, caste system through economic condition has strong roots in society and it affects the environment in which migration decision takes place. In the present study an attempt has been made to study the trends in rural adult out migration at the household level for different regions to understand the pattern of risk of adult out migration. Some probability models have been proposed to describe the phenomenon and it has been applied to the observed distribution of migrants from the households. Under certain assumptions, it was found that inflated geometric and beta geometric distributions explain satisfactorily the pattern of migration. Also in this study an attempt has been made to know the distribution of risk of migration which cannot be observed directly.
    VL  - 2
    IS  - 4
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Author Information
  • Faculty of Commerce & DST-Centre for Interdisciplinary Mathematical Sciences, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India

  • Department of Statistics, Amity University, Noida, India

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