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An Ensemble Approach Modelling to Assess Water Resources in the Mékrou Basin, Benin

Published in Hydrology (Volume 3, Issue 2)
Received: 30 May 2015     Accepted: 17 June 2015     Published: 9 July 2015
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Abstract

The aim of the study was to test the possible adequacy of an ensemble model to reproduce the observed flows in the Mékrou basin and in what measure this ensemble simulation could be used instead of a unique model. Single model applications showed shortcomings in terms of simulating both high and low flows at the same time. Thereby, the models were calibrated according to two different modes (high and low flows) and they were tested further through the elaboration of three various ensembles. The observed hydrographs were separated in three parts each in order to evaluate with much precision which model or ensemble fits best the hydrographs. On the basis of the Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), the models and derived ensembles were assessed using discharge data. In this paper, the comparison is made between models, mean and median ensembles. Good results were obtained for all models and ensembles but the best ones were achieved by the mean-based ensemble.

Published in Hydrology (Volume 3, Issue 2)
DOI 10.11648/j.hyd.20150302.11
Page(s) 22-32
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2015. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Hydrological Ensemble Modeling, Water Resources Assessment, Hydrograph, Mékrou Basin

References
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Cite This Article
  • APA Style

    O. U. Charlene Gaba, I. Eliezer Biao, A. Eric Alamou, Abel Afouda. (2015). An Ensemble Approach Modelling to Assess Water Resources in the Mékrou Basin, Benin. Hydrology, 3(2), 22-32. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.hyd.20150302.11

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    ACS Style

    O. U. Charlene Gaba; I. Eliezer Biao; A. Eric Alamou; Abel Afouda. An Ensemble Approach Modelling to Assess Water Resources in the Mékrou Basin, Benin. Hydrology. 2015, 3(2), 22-32. doi: 10.11648/j.hyd.20150302.11

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    AMA Style

    O. U. Charlene Gaba, I. Eliezer Biao, A. Eric Alamou, Abel Afouda. An Ensemble Approach Modelling to Assess Water Resources in the Mékrou Basin, Benin. Hydrology. 2015;3(2):22-32. doi: 10.11648/j.hyd.20150302.11

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  • @article{10.11648/j.hyd.20150302.11,
      author = {O. U. Charlene Gaba and I. Eliezer Biao and A. Eric Alamou and Abel Afouda},
      title = {An Ensemble Approach Modelling to Assess Water Resources in the Mékrou Basin, Benin},
      journal = {Hydrology},
      volume = {3},
      number = {2},
      pages = {22-32},
      doi = {10.11648/j.hyd.20150302.11},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.hyd.20150302.11},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.hyd.20150302.11},
      abstract = {The aim of the study was to test the possible adequacy of an ensemble model to reproduce the observed flows in the Mékrou basin and in what measure this ensemble simulation could be used instead of a unique model. Single model applications showed shortcomings in terms of simulating both high and low flows at the same time. Thereby, the models were calibrated according to two different modes (high and low flows) and they were tested further through the elaboration of three various ensembles. The observed hydrographs were separated in three parts each in order to evaluate with much precision which model or ensemble fits best the hydrographs. On the basis of the Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), the models and derived ensembles were assessed using discharge data. In this paper, the comparison is made between models, mean and median ensembles. Good results were obtained for all models and ensembles but the best ones were achieved by the mean-based ensemble.},
     year = {2015}
    }
    

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  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - An Ensemble Approach Modelling to Assess Water Resources in the Mékrou Basin, Benin
    AU  - O. U. Charlene Gaba
    AU  - I. Eliezer Biao
    AU  - A. Eric Alamou
    AU  - Abel Afouda
    Y1  - 2015/07/09
    PY  - 2015
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.hyd.20150302.11
    DO  - 10.11648/j.hyd.20150302.11
    T2  - Hydrology
    JF  - Hydrology
    JO  - Hydrology
    SP  - 22
    EP  - 32
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2330-7617
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.hyd.20150302.11
    AB  - The aim of the study was to test the possible adequacy of an ensemble model to reproduce the observed flows in the Mékrou basin and in what measure this ensemble simulation could be used instead of a unique model. Single model applications showed shortcomings in terms of simulating both high and low flows at the same time. Thereby, the models were calibrated according to two different modes (high and low flows) and they were tested further through the elaboration of three various ensembles. The observed hydrographs were separated in three parts each in order to evaluate with much precision which model or ensemble fits best the hydrographs. On the basis of the Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), the models and derived ensembles were assessed using discharge data. In this paper, the comparison is made between models, mean and median ensembles. Good results were obtained for all models and ensembles but the best ones were achieved by the mean-based ensemble.
    VL  - 3
    IS  - 2
    ER  - 

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Author Information
  • West African Science Service Center on Climate Change and Adapted Land Use, GRP Water Resources, Cotonou, Benin

  • West African Science Service Center on Climate Change and Adapted Land Use, GRP Water Resources, Cotonou, Benin

  • Laboratory of Applied Hydrology, Faculty of Science and Techniques, University of Abomey-Calavi, Benin

  • West African Science Service Center on Climate Change and Adapted Land Use, GRP Water Resources, Cotonou, Benin

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