Comparative Analysis of the Performance of Six Models for the Estimation of Global Solar Radiation for Katsina, Nigeria

Garba Musa Argungu; Yusuf Abubakar Sanusi; Kabir Ahmed Dabai; Muazu Abubakar; Abubakar Roko

doi:doi:10.11648/j.ajee.20200802.11

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Comparative Analysis of the Performance of Six Models for the Estimation of Global Solar Radiation for Katsina, Nigeria

Garba Musa Argungu, Yusuf Abubakar Sanusi, Kabir Ahmed Dabai, Muazu Abubakar, Abubakar Roko

Published in American Journal of Energy Engineering (Volume 8, Issue 2)

Received: 10 June 2020 Accepted: 22 June 2020 Published: 13 July 2020

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Abstract

Solar radiation data is an essential pre-requisite for the designing, sizing and performing evaluation of any solar energy conversion system in any part of the globe, even though solar radiation data are not readily available for many location of many developing countries such as Nigeria, hence the needs to rely on empirical models. There are many developed models across the globe for the estimation of solar radiation, to identify the optimum performing model for locations such as Katsina requires the comparism between the various models. In this study, performance evaluation of six selected models for the estimation of global solar radiation was carried out for Katsina location, Nigeria. The models were formed from different combinations of some meteorological parameters (sunshine hours, relative humidity and temperatures) obtained for a period of ten years (2006-2015) from Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NIMET). Monthly average extraterrestrial global solar radiation was evaluated for the locations. The data was analysed to find the empirical constants for all the selected models in the locations. Estimated values of global solar radiation was obtained from the six selected models. The estimated values were then compared using statistical parameters (mean bias error (MBE), mean percentage error (MPE), root mean square error (RMSE) and coefficient of determinant (R²). Model 6 was found to be the optimum model for Katsina because it fitted the measured data most for each month of year based on various statistical parameters used for the analysis.

Published in	American Journal of Energy Engineering (Volume 8, Issue 2)
DOI	10.11648/j.ajee.20200802.11
Page(s)	18-25
Creative Commons	This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright	Copyright © The Author(s), 2020. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Radiation, Extraterrestrial, Energy, Meteorological and Evaluation 1, Introduction

References

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[2]	Nwokoye, A. O., and Ike, C. U. (2003) Measurement of Global Radiation Constant “Intensity”Awka, using Pyranometer, Nigeria. Journal on Renewable Energy, 11 (1&2) 1-8.
[3]	Innocent, A. J., Jacob, O. B., Chibuzo, G. C., James, I. and Odeh, O. (2015) Estimation of Global Solar Radiation in Gusau, Nigeria. International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology, ISSN: 2347-4599.
[4]	Sen, Z. (2008) Solar Energy Fundamental and Modeling Technique, Atmosphere, Environment, Climate Change and Renewable Energy, Istanbul, Turkey, Springer Verlag, London, 34469.
[5]	Duffie, J. A. and Beckman, W. A. (2013) Solar Engineering of Thermal Processing, 4th Ed. Madison: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
[6]	Krishna R, Adhikaril, Binod K. Bhattarai I, Shekhar Gurun (2013) “Estimation pof Global Solar Radiation for Four Selected Sites in Nepal Using Sunshine Hours, Temperature and Relative Humidity” Journal of Power and Energy Engineering 1, 1-9.
[7]	Gana, N. N. and Akpootu, D. O. (2013) Estimation of Global Solar Radiation using Four Sunshine Based Models in North-western Nigeria, Journal Advance in Applied Science Research, 4 (5): 409-421.
[8]	Vecan, D. (2011) Measurement and Comparison of Solar Radiation estimation Models for Izmir, Turkey. International Journal of Science and Technology, 4 (1) 1943-2429.
[9]	Korachagaon, I. B., Bapat, V. N., and Anjum, M. I. (2008) Predicting Global Solar Radiation for South America. International Journal of Mechanical Meter Eng, ISSN: 2 (3), 139.
[10]	Besharat, F., Dehghan, A. A., and Faghih, A. R. (2013) Empirical Models for Estimating Global Solar Radiation in Yazd City, Iran, Proceedings of the “International Conference on Solar Energy for MENA region (INCOSOL)” Amman, Jordan, 22-23 October Paper Number: 2 (1).
[11]	Kacem Gairaa and Yahia Bakelli (2013) A Comparative Study of Some Regression Models to Estimate the Global Solar Radiation on a Horizontal Surface from Sunshine Duration and Meteorological Parameters for Gharda / a Site, Algeria Hindawi Publishing Corporation ISRN Renewable Energy http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/754956
[12]	Bakirci, K. (2008) Correlation for Estimating of Solar Radiation on Horizontal Surface. Journal of Energy Engeering, ISSN: 134 (4), 130-4.
[13]	Bakirci, K., Pandey, C. K. (2010) Simple Correlation for Estimating the Global Solar Radiation on Horizontal Surface in India. Journal of Thermal Science and Technology in india, 3 (1) 60-71.
[14]	Fariba Beshatrat, Ali A, Dehghan, Ahmed R. Faghih (2013) Empirical models for the estimating global solar radiation: A reviews and case study Renewable and sustainable energy Reviews Elsevier 21 (2013) 798-821.
[15]	Foster, R., Ghassemi, M., Cota, A. (2010) Determination of the Optimal Tilt Angle for Solar Photovoltaic Panel in Ilorin, Nigeria. Solar Energy Renewable Energy and the Environment, 1^st Ed. Boca Raton: Taylor & Francis Group. Inc.
[16]	Gairaa, K., Bakelli, Y. (2011) An Overview of Global Solar Radiation Measurement in Ghardaia Area, South Algeria. International Journal of Energy and Environment, 2 (2) 255-260.

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APA Style

Garba Musa Argungu, Yusuf Abubakar Sanusi, Kabir Ahmed Dabai, Muazu Abubakar, Abubakar Roko. (2020). Comparative Analysis of the Performance of Six Models for the Estimation of Global Solar Radiation for Katsina, Nigeria. American Journal of Energy Engineering, 8(2), 18-25. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajee.20200802.11

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ACS Style

Garba Musa Argungu; Yusuf Abubakar Sanusi; Kabir Ahmed Dabai; Muazu Abubakar; Abubakar Roko. Comparative Analysis of the Performance of Six Models for the Estimation of Global Solar Radiation for Katsina, Nigeria. Am. J. Energy Eng. 2020, 8(2), 18-25. doi: 10.11648/j.ajee.20200802.11

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AMA Style

Garba Musa Argungu, Yusuf Abubakar Sanusi, Kabir Ahmed Dabai, Muazu Abubakar, Abubakar Roko. Comparative Analysis of the Performance of Six Models for the Estimation of Global Solar Radiation for Katsina, Nigeria. Am J Energy Eng. 2020;8(2):18-25. doi: 10.11648/j.ajee.20200802.11

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@article{10.11648/j.ajee.20200802.11,
  author = {Garba Musa Argungu and Yusuf Abubakar Sanusi and Kabir Ahmed Dabai and Muazu Abubakar and Abubakar Roko},
  title = {Comparative Analysis of the Performance of Six Models for the Estimation of Global Solar Radiation for Katsina, Nigeria},
  journal = {American Journal of Energy Engineering},
  volume = {8},
  number = {2},
  pages = {18-25},
  doi = {10.11648/j.ajee.20200802.11},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajee.20200802.11},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ajee.20200802.11},
  abstract = {Solar radiation data is an essential pre-requisite for the designing, sizing and performing evaluation of any solar energy conversion system in any part of the globe, even though solar radiation data are not readily available for many location of many developing countries such as Nigeria, hence the needs to rely on empirical models. There are many developed models across the globe for the estimation of solar radiation, to identify the optimum performing model for locations such as Katsina requires the comparism between the various models. In this study, performance evaluation of six selected models for the estimation of global solar radiation was carried out for Katsina location, Nigeria. The models were formed from different combinations of some meteorological parameters (sunshine hours, relative humidity and temperatures) obtained for a period of ten years (2006-2015) from Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NIMET). Monthly average extraterrestrial global solar radiation was evaluated for the locations. The data was analysed to find the empirical constants for all the selected models in the locations. Estimated values of global solar radiation was obtained from the six selected models. The estimated values were then compared using statistical parameters (mean bias error (MBE), mean percentage error (MPE), root mean square error (RMSE) and coefficient of determinant (R2). Model 6 was found to be the optimum model for Katsina because it fitted the measured data most for each month of year based on various statistical parameters used for the analysis.},
 year = {2020}
}

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TY  - JOUR
T1  - Comparative Analysis of the Performance of Six Models for the Estimation of Global Solar Radiation for Katsina, Nigeria
AU  - Garba Musa Argungu
AU  - Yusuf Abubakar Sanusi
AU  - Kabir Ahmed Dabai
AU  - Muazu Abubakar
AU  - Abubakar Roko
Y1  - 2020/07/13
PY  - 2020
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajee.20200802.11
DO  - 10.11648/j.ajee.20200802.11
T2  - American Journal of Energy Engineering
JF  - American Journal of Energy Engineering
JO  - American Journal of Energy Engineering
SP  - 18
EP  - 25
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2329-163X
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajee.20200802.11
AB  - Solar radiation data is an essential pre-requisite for the designing, sizing and performing evaluation of any solar energy conversion system in any part of the globe, even though solar radiation data are not readily available for many location of many developing countries such as Nigeria, hence the needs to rely on empirical models. There are many developed models across the globe for the estimation of solar radiation, to identify the optimum performing model for locations such as Katsina requires the comparism between the various models. In this study, performance evaluation of six selected models for the estimation of global solar radiation was carried out for Katsina location, Nigeria. The models were formed from different combinations of some meteorological parameters (sunshine hours, relative humidity and temperatures) obtained for a period of ten years (2006-2015) from Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NIMET). Monthly average extraterrestrial global solar radiation was evaluated for the locations. The data was analysed to find the empirical constants for all the selected models in the locations. Estimated values of global solar radiation was obtained from the six selected models. The estimated values were then compared using statistical parameters (mean bias error (MBE), mean percentage error (MPE), root mean square error (RMSE) and coefficient of determinant (R2). Model 6 was found to be the optimum model for Katsina because it fitted the measured data most for each month of year based on various statistical parameters used for the analysis.
VL  - 8
IS  - 2
ER  -

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Author Information

Garba Musa Argungu

Department of Physics, Usmanu Danfodiyo University, Sokoto, Nigeria
Yusuf Abubakar Sanusi

Department of Physics, Usmanu Danfodiyo University, Sokoto, Nigeria
Kabir Ahmed Dabai

Department of Physics, Usmanu Danfodiyo University, Sokoto, Nigeria
Muazu Abubakar

Department of Physics, Usmanu Danfodiyo University, Sokoto, Nigeria
Abubakar Roko

Department of Computer Science, Usmanu Danfodiyo University, Sokoto, Nigeria

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APA Style

Garba Musa Argungu, Yusuf Abubakar Sanusi, Kabir Ahmed Dabai, Muazu Abubakar, Abubakar Roko. (2020). Comparative Analysis of the Performance of Six Models for the Estimation of Global Solar Radiation for Katsina, Nigeria. American Journal of Energy Engineering, 8(2), 18-25. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajee.20200802.11

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ACS Style

Garba Musa Argungu; Yusuf Abubakar Sanusi; Kabir Ahmed Dabai; Muazu Abubakar; Abubakar Roko. Comparative Analysis of the Performance of Six Models for the Estimation of Global Solar Radiation for Katsina, Nigeria. Am. J. Energy Eng. 2020, 8(2), 18-25. doi: 10.11648/j.ajee.20200802.11

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AMA Style

Garba Musa Argungu, Yusuf Abubakar Sanusi, Kabir Ahmed Dabai, Muazu Abubakar, Abubakar Roko. Comparative Analysis of the Performance of Six Models for the Estimation of Global Solar Radiation for Katsina, Nigeria. Am J Energy Eng. 2020;8(2):18-25. doi: 10.11648/j.ajee.20200802.11

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@article{10.11648/j.ajee.20200802.11,
  author = {Garba Musa Argungu and Yusuf Abubakar Sanusi and Kabir Ahmed Dabai and Muazu Abubakar and Abubakar Roko},
  title = {Comparative Analysis of the Performance of Six Models for the Estimation of Global Solar Radiation for Katsina, Nigeria},
  journal = {American Journal of Energy Engineering},
  volume = {8},
  number = {2},
  pages = {18-25},
  doi = {10.11648/j.ajee.20200802.11},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajee.20200802.11},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ajee.20200802.11},
  abstract = {Solar radiation data is an essential pre-requisite for the designing, sizing and performing evaluation of any solar energy conversion system in any part of the globe, even though solar radiation data are not readily available for many location of many developing countries such as Nigeria, hence the needs to rely on empirical models. There are many developed models across the globe for the estimation of solar radiation, to identify the optimum performing model for locations such as Katsina requires the comparism between the various models. In this study, performance evaluation of six selected models for the estimation of global solar radiation was carried out for Katsina location, Nigeria. The models were formed from different combinations of some meteorological parameters (sunshine hours, relative humidity and temperatures) obtained for a period of ten years (2006-2015) from Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NIMET). Monthly average extraterrestrial global solar radiation was evaluated for the locations. The data was analysed to find the empirical constants for all the selected models in the locations. Estimated values of global solar radiation was obtained from the six selected models. The estimated values were then compared using statistical parameters (mean bias error (MBE), mean percentage error (MPE), root mean square error (RMSE) and coefficient of determinant (R2). Model 6 was found to be the optimum model for Katsina because it fitted the measured data most for each month of year based on various statistical parameters used for the analysis.},
 year = {2020}
}

Copy | Download

TY  - JOUR
T1  - Comparative Analysis of the Performance of Six Models for the Estimation of Global Solar Radiation for Katsina, Nigeria
AU  - Garba Musa Argungu
AU  - Yusuf Abubakar Sanusi
AU  - Kabir Ahmed Dabai
AU  - Muazu Abubakar
AU  - Abubakar Roko
Y1  - 2020/07/13
PY  - 2020
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajee.20200802.11
DO  - 10.11648/j.ajee.20200802.11
T2  - American Journal of Energy Engineering
JF  - American Journal of Energy Engineering
JO  - American Journal of Energy Engineering
SP  - 18
EP  - 25
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2329-163X
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajee.20200802.11
AB  - Solar radiation data is an essential pre-requisite for the designing, sizing and performing evaluation of any solar energy conversion system in any part of the globe, even though solar radiation data are not readily available for many location of many developing countries such as Nigeria, hence the needs to rely on empirical models. There are many developed models across the globe for the estimation of solar radiation, to identify the optimum performing model for locations such as Katsina requires the comparism between the various models. In this study, performance evaluation of six selected models for the estimation of global solar radiation was carried out for Katsina location, Nigeria. The models were formed from different combinations of some meteorological parameters (sunshine hours, relative humidity and temperatures) obtained for a period of ten years (2006-2015) from Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NIMET). Monthly average extraterrestrial global solar radiation was evaluated for the locations. The data was analysed to find the empirical constants for all the selected models in the locations. Estimated values of global solar radiation was obtained from the six selected models. The estimated values were then compared using statistical parameters (mean bias error (MBE), mean percentage error (MPE), root mean square error (RMSE) and coefficient of determinant (R2). Model 6 was found to be the optimum model for Katsina because it fitted the measured data most for each month of year based on various statistical parameters used for the analysis.
VL  - 8
IS  - 2
ER  -

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